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Published Tuesday, July 14, 2020 in The Seattle Times

Boeing Has Lost More Than 800 Orders for the 737 MAX This Year

By Dominic Gates
Seattle Times aerospace reporter

Boeing Has Lost More Than 800 Orders for the 737 MAX This YearThough Boeing now anticipates U.S. federal approval to unground its 737 MAX in September, company data released Tuesday shows that in the first half of this year the manufacturer lost just over 800 orders for the troubled airplane.

With the MAX unable to be delivered and with the COVID-19 pandemic killing demand for all other airplanes, Boeing’s update Tuesday to its orders and deliveries website also shows that it delivered just 10 jets in June, only three of which were passenger airplanes.

With production at such a slow crawl, Boeing delivered a total of 70 commercial airplanes (or military derivatives) in the first half of this year, down from 239 delivered in the first half of 2019.

Rival Airbus delivered 36 aircraft in June, and 196 in the first half of the year.

While Boeing’s delivery figures are bleak, its order numbers are worse.

Boeing in June added one solitary new order from FedEx for a 767 freighter jet, and meanwhile wiped 183 orders from its backlog due to cancellations or likely cancellations.

Boeing’s new gross orders for the year through June now stands at 59, but net of cancellations and model conversions its order tally stands at negative 323 airplanes.

Adding in the aircraft removed from the official backlog as no longer solid enough to count as orders, and that tally swells to negative 784 airplanes.

Airbus in comparison lost one order in June, bringing its net order tally for the year to 298 airplanes.

In a statement, Greg Smith, Boeing executive vice president of Enterprise Operations, attributed the slump in deliveries to “the significant impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on our customers and our operations.”

“We continue to closely monitor the commercial marketplace by staying very engaged with our customers around the globe to fully understand short term and long term requirements,” Smith added. “All of this is informing current and future production rates and any further adjustments as needed to balance supply and demand.”

MAX orders shrinking

Smith did not address the substantial decline in the order backlog, which is almost entirely due to some customers giving up on the 737 MAX.

For the 737 MAX alone, the negative tally for the first half of the year is 805 airplanes.

All but five of the airplanes scrubbed from the backlog in June were MAXs. Customers outright canceled 60 orders for the MAX and Boeing removed another 119 MAXs from its official backlog that are no longer deemed solid enough to meet U.S. accounting standards.

Most of those 119 orders, though not yet officially canceled, may as well be dead. For example, that total includes 92 MAXs that Norwegian Air announced publicly it is canceling. Boeing hasn’t officially labeled them canceled only because it’s still negotiating with Norwegian and presumably looking at legal options.

(Norwegian said it’s also canceling five 787 Dreamliner orders; Boeing also removed those from the backlog in June without officially canceling them.)

The 60 outright MAX cancellations in June included 30 for lessor BOC Aviation, 17 for lessor Avolon, six for Blue Air of Romania, five for lessor ACG and two more for unidentified customers.

An order that might have been

Also notable from the June results is that Boeing failed to finalize a new order for 777Xs and 787s after offering an airline a discount deal that had to be accepted by June 30.

This offer was revealed in a lawsuit filing at the end of May. Russian cargo carrier Volga-Dnepr, which earlier this year had canceled orders for a 747-8 freighter and three 777 freighters, sued Boeing for refusing to let it take back the cancellation and instead offering two of the 777 jets to another customer.

That customer wasn’t named in the lawsuit filings, but its identity was revealed when one of the 777 freighters in question flew a test flight out of Everett painted in the livery of China Cargo Airlines, a subsidiary of Shanghai-based China Eastern.

A filing in the lawsuit includes a formal “credit memo” for the two 777Fs that made the discounts conditional on an agreement to also purchase 777Xs and 787s “no later than June 30, 2020.“

In refusing Volga-Dnepr’s wish to come back in from the cold and instead wooing China Eastern, Boeing sales chief Ihssane Mounir was clearly reaching for a big win and a significant morale boost. There have been precious few widebody jet sales this year, and no direct, identified orders from Chinese airlines since 2017.

That Mounir didn’t close the 777X/787 deal by the deadline in the memo doesn’t mean it won’t happen. Negotiations will likely continue. It may or may not come to fruition later, with the outcome crucially dependent on the state of U.S.-China relations.

Boeing deliveries in June consisted of three military aircraft — two P-8 Navy sub-hunters and one KC-46 Air Force tanker — plus four widebody freighters (a 747 for UPS and two 767s and a 777 for FedEx) as well as three 787 Dreamliners.

All three 787s were delivered from Boeing’s North Charleston, South Carolina, plant, not from the 787 line in Everett. Two were 787-10s for British Airways and the third was a 787-9 for Westjet of Canada.

With the shrinking of the 737 MAX order book, Boeing’s official backlog now stands at 4,552 airplanes. The Airbus backlog stands at 7,584 airplanes.

The firm order backlog for the 737 MAX models alone now stand at 3,550 airplanes, Boeing’s data shows. Airbus cites the order backlog for its rival A320 family of jets at 6,108 airplanes.

The backlogs of both manufacturers are likely to shrink more in the year ahead as the impact of the pandemic continues to devastate airline finances worldwide.

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/boeing-has-lost-more-than-800-orders-for-the-737-max-this-year/